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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +5.46$

Invest 70.32$

Average return 75.78$

ROI +7.8%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 172.37 $, profit at most −96.60 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

11.94 $

at 5.97

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

56.56 $

at 9.43

souvenirSteam

×2

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

1.82 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.32 $ +5.46 (+7.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Quick Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

13.23 $

at 6.62

Steam

×7

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

65.98 $

at 9.43

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.52 $

at 0.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 79.74 $ +4.61 (+5.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

5.97 $

at 5.97

souvenirSteam

×4

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.44 $

at 0.61

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

4.54 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.95 $ +2.80 (+21.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

11.94 $

at 5.97

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

9.43 $

at 9.43

souvenirSteam

×7

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

6.36 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.73 $ +5.17 (+18.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

190.27 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

36.02 $ 26.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

float up to 0.032374

94.30 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

7.72 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

6.44 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

8.61 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.78 $ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

6.71 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Ascent Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.67 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.12 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102948 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 6.89$ · invest 18.96$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170239 instead of 0.161592
Craft 2103459 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 6.62$ · invest 17.81$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168575 instead of 0.161592
Craft 2103007 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 6.51$ · invest 14.91$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170239 instead of 0.161592
Craft 2103254 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 6.30$ · invest 18.34$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167563 instead of 0.161592
Craft 2103059 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 6.29$ · invest 23.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −2 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161917 instead of 0.161592; Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.003626 instead of 0.003528
Craft 2102847 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 5.58$ · invest 18.02$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170962 instead of 0.161592
Craft 2103080 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 5.38$ · invest 69.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161712 instead of 0.161592; Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.003564 instead of 0.003528
Craft 2103175 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 5.33$ · invest 69.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161834 instead of 0.161592; Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.003601 instead of 0.003528

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build