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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +7.19$

Invest 21.28$

Average return 28.46$

ROI +33.8%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 47.43 $, profit at most −18.96 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

5.97 $

at 5.97

souvenirSteam

×2

Nova | Quick Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

13.23 $

at 6.62

Steam

×7

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

2.07 $

at 0.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.28 $ +7.19 (+33.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Quick Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

19.85 $

at 6.62

Steam

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

9.43 $

at 9.43

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Dark Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.13 $

at 0.13

Steam

×5

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

1.48 $

at 0.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.89 $ +6.79 (+22.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Quick Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

19.85 $

at 6.62

Steam

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

18.85 $

at 9.43

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Dark Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.13 $

at 0.13

Steam

×4

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

1.18 $

at 0.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.02 $ +6.87 (+17.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Quick Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

19.85 $

at 6.62

Steam

×3

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

28.28 $

at 9.43

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Dark Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.13 $

at 0.13

Steam

×3

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

0.89 $

at 0.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49.15 $ +6.95 (+14.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113111

0.80 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Block-18

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075996

0.87 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Etch Lord

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113111

1.02 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Just Smile

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113111

0.96 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.15 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.056555

190.27 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113111

36.03 $ 10.00%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

float up to 0.041851

94.30 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Ascent Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.28 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.18 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2103548 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 7.23$ · invest 22.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161587 instead of 0.166346; Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161587 instead of 0.166346
Craft 2103385 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 6.63$ · invest 17.56$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165852 instead of 0.166346; Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165852 instead of 0.166346
Craft 2103386 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 5.57$ · invest 17.56$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169067 instead of 0.166346; Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169067 instead of 0.166346

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build