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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +473.25₽

Invest 1 490.52₽

Average return 1 963.77₽

ROI +31.8%

Chance of profit 20%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 400.88₽ · profit at most −1 437.11₽ (−42.3%) · chance of profit at most 13%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 507.06 → 1 095.25 ₽

Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 561.70 → 1 213.27 ₽

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) × 8 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 421.76 → 1 092.36 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

507.06 ₽

at 507.06

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Quick Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

561.70 ₽

at 561.70

Steam

×8

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

421.76 ₽

at 52.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 490.52 ₽ +473.25 (+31.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −1 706 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Nova | Quick Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

1 123.40 ₽

at 561.70

Steam

×7

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

5 602.10 ₽

at 800.30

souvenirSteam

×1

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

40.63 ₽

at 40.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 766.13 ₽ +382.72 (+5.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −262 ₽

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Nova | Quick Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

1 123.40 ₽

at 561.70

Steam

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

800.30 ₽

at 800.30

souvenirSteam

×1

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

30.05 ₽

at 30.05

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

316.32 ₽

at 52.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 270.07 ₽ +434.43 (+19.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −501 ₽

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Nova | Quick Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

1 123.40 ₽

at 561.70

Steam

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1 600.60 ₽

at 800.30

souvenirSteam

×1

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

30.05 ₽

at 30.05

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

263.60 ₽

at 52.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 017.65 ₽ +427.57 (+14.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072560

373.53 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

673.03 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.064024

617.45 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.042682

16 154.40 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085365

3 058.54 ₽ 6.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

float up to 0.031585

8 006.10 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Ascent Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +143.78 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +511.05 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2103548 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 614.04₽ · invest 1 868.33₽
profit on prices without salesat least −82 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161587 instead of 0.169067; Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161587 instead of 0.169067
Craft 2103299 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 610.23₽ · invest 1 806.37₽
profit on prices without salesat least −86 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166346 instead of 0.169067; Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166346 instead of 0.169067
Craft 2103385 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 563.26₽ · invest 1 490.52₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Eye of Zapems: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165852 instead of 0.169067; Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165852 instead of 0.169067; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004824 instead of 0.005803

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build