to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.24$

Invest 2.00$

Average return 2.24$

ROI +12.3%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 5.07 $, profit at most −2.82 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

0.05 $

at 0.05

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1587

0.19 $

at 0.19

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

1.75 $

at 0.22

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 2.00 $ +0.24 (+12.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.015789

2.10 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4.01 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

2.54 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128289

2.50 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

0.63 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.118420

0.68 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.118420

0.82 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092763

0.58 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Rising Sun Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 only The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.17 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.12 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102856 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 2.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Field-Tested): float at most 0.158445 instead of 0.158735; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162950 instead of 0.163394
Craft 2107198 · The Ancient Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 0.22$ · invest 1.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165270 instead of 0.158735; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173414 instead of 0.163394

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build