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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +141.15₴

Invest 315.29₴

Average return 456.43₴

ROI +44.8%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 751.07 ₴, profit at most −294.65 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

157.19 ₴

at 26.20

Steam

×3

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

150.42 ₴

at 50.14

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

7.67 ₴

at 7.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 315.29 ₴ +141.15 (+44.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 55%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

189.68 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.054999

352.43 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

178.91 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.054999

1 590.52 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

47.42 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71.45 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

39.33 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.064999

42.71 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

38.95 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +55.80 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +91.06 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2104628 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 144.14₴ · invest 311.92₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.075370; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.004309 instead of 0.004698
Craft 2104629 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 143.30₴ · invest 311.92₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076286 instead of 0.075370; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.005500 instead of 0.004698
Craft 2104220 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 143.08₴ · invest 315.21₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New)
Craft 2104466 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 141.61₴ · invest 313.52₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076975 instead of 0.075370; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.006103 instead of 0.004698
Craft 2103901 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 141.20₴ · invest 314.49₴
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076837 instead of 0.075370; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.005982 instead of 0.004698

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build