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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Control Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +212.74₽

Invest 776.03₽

Average return 988.77₽

ROI +27.4%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 1 820.78 ₽, profit at most −832.00 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

346.36 ₽

at 49.48

Steam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

189.40 ₽

at 94.70

souvenirSteam

×1

MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

240.27 ₽

at 240.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 776.03 ₽ +212.74 (+27.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

296.88 ₽

at 49.48

Steam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

189.40 ₽

at 94.70

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Nitro

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

222.60 ₽

at 222.60

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

240.27 ₽

at 240.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 949.15 ₽ +79.32 (+8.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

358.25 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

665.62 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.057166

337.91 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

3 003.96 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Dispatch

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075833

1 725.00 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Global Offensive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081666

1 399.16 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SCAR-20 | Magna Carta

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 644.70 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Threat Detected

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075833

1 422.93 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Control Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Control Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Control Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Control Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Control Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +34.28 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +114.34 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Control Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2104027 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Control Collection · profit 225.66₽ · invest 758.36₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Nitro (Field-Tested) instead of MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Magna Carta: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074824 instead of 0.074790; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.004221 instead of 0.004191

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Control Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build