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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Havoc Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +122.72₽

Invest 1 004.26₽

Average return 1 126.98₽

ROI +12.2%

Chance of profit 32%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 323.55₽ · profit at most −1 196.57₽ (−51.5%) · chance of profit at most 25%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) × 5 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 247.40 → 611.08 ₽

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) × 4 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 378.80 → 895.86 ₽

Nova | Rust Coat (Field-Tested) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 378.06 → 816.61 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

247.40 ₽

at 49.48

Steam

×4

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

378.80 ₽

at 94.70

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Rust Coat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

378.06 ₽

at 378.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 004.26 ₽ +122.72 (+12.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

358.25 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.059230

665.62 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.052769

337.91 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.059230

3 003.96 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Night Heist

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 199.55 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Phoenix Stencil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 038.62 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

1 599.90 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P90 | Tiger Pit

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

1 711.32 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Havoc Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Havoc Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −91.46 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.90 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Havoc Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Havoc Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build