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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +4.12$

Invest 4.94$

Average return 9.07$

ROI +83.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 11.97 $, profit at most −2.90 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3.50 $

at 0.58

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1.27 $

at 0.63

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2096

0.18 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.94 $ +4.12 (+83.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

4.22 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.84 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

3.98 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35.38 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

0.44 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

0.60 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.114545

1.13 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127272

0.66 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.43 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.13 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2104669 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 4.09$ · invest 5.01$
rare inputs

Nova | Rain Station (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074118 instead of 0.074272; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074118 instead of 0.074272
Craft 2104627 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 4.09$ · invest 4.95$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074259 instead of 0.074272; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074259 instead of 0.074272
Craft 2101997 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 4.05$ · invest 5.23$
rare inputs

Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074421 instead of 0.074272; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074421 instead of 0.074272
Craft 2102783 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 4.04$ · invest 7.43$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074421 instead of 0.074272; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074421 instead of 0.074272
Craft 2103871 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 4.03$ · invest 5.18$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074066 instead of 0.074272; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074066 instead of 0.074272
Craft 2104698 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 3.92$ · invest 5.15$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074066 instead of 0.074272; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074066 instead of 0.074272
Craft 2104076 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 3.82$ · invest 5.21$
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074188 instead of 0.074272; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074188 instead of 0.074272
Craft 2104193 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 3.72$ · invest 5.63$
rare inputs

Galil AR | NV (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074373 instead of 0.074272; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074373 instead of 0.074272

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build