to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +437.66₴

Invest 372.86₴

Average return 810.51₴

ROI +117.4%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 851.41 ₴, profit at most −40.90 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

11.78 ₴

at 5.89

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

91.33 ₴

at 15.22

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

269.75 ₴

at 134.87

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 372.86 ₴ +437.66 (+117.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −40 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

17.66 ₴

at 5.89

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

76.11 ₴

at 15.22

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

269.75 ₴

at 134.87

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 363.52 ₴ +354.15 (+97.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 308.94 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 017.33 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

604.07 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

652.16 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

61.74 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

69.68 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

109.92 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.006351

70.43 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +259.15 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +355.04 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2135062 · The Overpass Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 487.78₴ · invest 237.01₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074272 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060534 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2101789 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 475.94₴ · invest 232.69₴
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074272 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060534 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2108683 · The Anubis Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 471.69₴ · invest 260.31₴
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074142 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060517 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2130629 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 471.68₴ · invest 230.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074272 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060534 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2110912 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 470.07₴ · invest 230.78₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074272 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060534 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2112203 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 469.75₴ · invest 230.67₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074272 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060534 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2135012 · The Overpass Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 468.88₴ · invest 230.50₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Red Jasper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074360 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060545 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2103391 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 436.03₴ · invest 378.80₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074497 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060562 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2106794 · The Achroma Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 434.41₴ · invest 363.98₴
profit on prices without salesat least −12 ₴ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Sans Comic (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060565 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2102514 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 433.67₴ · invest 366.06₴
profit on prices without salesat least −12 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060565 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2105885 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 431.54₴ · invest 403.47₴
profit on prices without salesat least −36 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060565 instead of 0.060543
Craft 2130953 · The Havoc Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 399.59₴ · invest 465.81₴
profit on prices without salesat least −86 ₴ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074285 instead of 0.074350; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New): float at most 0.060535 instead of 0.060543

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build