The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +116.09₽

Invest 52.27₽

Average return 168.36₽

ROI +222.1%

Chance of profit 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 122.80₽ · profit at most +45.56₽ (+37.1%) · chance of profit at most 48%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 11.12 → 24.02 ₽

MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 13.95 → 34.46 ₽

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 27.20 → 64.33 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

11.12 ₽

at 11.12

souvenirSteam

×5

MP7 | Army Recon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

13.95 ₽

at 2.79

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Army Mesh

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

27.20 ₽

at 6.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.27 ₽ +116.09 (+222.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 15%

in profit

AUG | Condemned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371.02 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

62.72 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

18.56 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Gator Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

15.26 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Orange Peel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

343.00 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Forest Leaves

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

382.06 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

116.61 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

131.60 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

207.61 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.006351

133.02 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +80.77 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +107.51 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2101866 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 117.43₽ · invest 45.23₽
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2130754 · The Harlequin Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 114.76₽ · invest 44.05₽
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2111028 · The Ascent Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 113.74₽ · invest 44.03₽
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2112335 · The Boreal Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 113.54₽ · invest 43.96₽
M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2106909 · The Achroma Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 113.03₽ · invest 43.89₽
SSG 08 | Sans Comic (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074711 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004122 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2136439 · The Radiant Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 112.99₽ · invest 43.85₽
G3SG1 | Red Jasper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074838 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004234 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2102620 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 112.32₽ · invest 45.85₽
P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074711 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004122 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2111710 · The Bank Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 111.38₽ · invest 45.45₽
Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.003812 instead of 0.004055

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build