to all crafts

The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +29.87$

Invest 169.05$

Average return 198.91$

ROI +17.7%

Chance of profit 92%

With float: invest at least 393.80 $, profit at most −194.89 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

41.30 $

at 41.30

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

63.54 $

at 10.59

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

64.20 $

at 21.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 169.05 $ +29.87 (+17.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

FAMAS | Meltdown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

37.46 $

at 37.46

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

41.30 $

at 41.30

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

42.36 $

at 10.59

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

85.61 $

at 21.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 206.73 $ +8.45 (+4.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 45%

in profit

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

224.25 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

195.84 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Emerald)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.50 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 1)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.50 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 2)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.50 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 3)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.50 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 4)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.50 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Coalition

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 800.00 $ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.40 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2131552 · The Horizon Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 31.26$ · invest 147.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078912 instead of 0.075010; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New): float at most 0.007798 instead of 0.004383

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build