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The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +58.82$

Invest 104.28$

Average return 163.10$

ROI +56.4%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 272.62 $, profit at most −109.52 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −103 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

R8 Revolver | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

3.50 $

at 3.50

Steam

×9

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

100.78 $

at 11.20

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 104.28 $ +58.82 (+56.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −39 $

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

R8 Revolver | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

3.50 $

at 3.50

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

24.60 $

at 3.51

Steam

×2

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

22.40 $

at 11.20

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 50.50 $ +0.14 (+0.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

146.41 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Road Rash

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

265.67 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.005945

36.34 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

15.31 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

23.16 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.007837

19.39 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

12.17 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +40.27 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +56.87 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2135115 · The Overpass Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 59.69$ · invest 103.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −102 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.007112 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2110190 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 59.58$ · invest 106.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −105 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.005738 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2134258 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 59.31$ · invest 104.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −102 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006955 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2130272 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 59.28$ · invest 103.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −102 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006871 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2133973 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 59.15$ · invest 106.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −105 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006682 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2135160 · The Overpass Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 59.10$ · invest 103.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −102 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006264 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2108696 · The Anubis Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 59.00$ · invest 105.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −103 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.007112 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2123501 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 58.99$ · invest 102.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −102 $ rare inputs

M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006871 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2135130 · The Overpass Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 58.97$ · invest 103.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −102 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006987 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2105894 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 58.85$ · invest 106.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −104 $ rare inputs

Souvenir Negev | Infrastructure (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006742 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2109813 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 56.10$ · invest 107.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −106 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006222 instead of 0.004430
Craft 2135146 · The Overpass Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 56.02$ · invest 106.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −105 $ rare inputs

P90 | Glacier Mesh (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006222 instead of 0.004430

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build