to all crafts

The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +217.96$

Invest 216.94$

Average return 434.90$

ROI +100.5%

Chance of profit 92%

With float: invest at least 551.14 $, profit at most −116.24 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −208 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

41.30 $

at 41.30

Steam

×9

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

175.64 $

at 19.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 216.94 $ +217.96 (+100.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −293 $

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

165.20 $

at 41.30

Steam

×2

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

39.03 $

at 19.52

Steam

×4

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

122.65 $

at 30.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 326.88 $ +78.15 (+23.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −233 $

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

82.60 $

at 41.30

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

136.61 $

at 19.52

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

30.66 $

at 30.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 249.87 $ +175.07 (+70.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −257 $

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

123.90 $

at 41.30

Steam

×5

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

97.58 $

at 19.52

Steam

×2

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

61.33 $

at 30.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 282.80 $ +132.18 (+46.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 8%

in profit

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.91 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

273.26 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Emerald)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.50 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 1)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.50 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 2)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.50 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 3)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.50 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 4)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.50 $ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Coalition

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 800.00 $ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +142.50 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +163.49 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2139348 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 235.91$ · invest 189.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −189 $ rare inputs

AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074334 instead of 0.075422
Craft 2130071 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 229.62$ · invest 209.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −171 $ rare inputs

FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074683 instead of 0.075422
Craft 2133953 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 226.13$ · invest 197.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −174 $ rare inputs

M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074252 instead of 0.075422
Craft 2118609 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 223.04$ · invest 197.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −191 $ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.075422

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build