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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +255.19₽

Invest 1 608.40₽

Average return 1 863.59₽

ROI +15.9%

Chance of profit 48%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 047.11₽ · profit at most −2 183.52₽ (−54.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 115.20 → 248.83 ₽

MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 160.72 → 347.16 ₽

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 1 332.48 → 3 451.12 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

115.20 ₽

at 115.20

souvenirSteam

×1

MP7 | Tall Grass

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

160.72 ₽

at 160.72

Steam

×8

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1 332.48 ₽

at 166.56

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 608.40 ₽ +255.19 (+15.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −70 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

644.00 ₽

at 128.80

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

150.00 ₽

at 150.00

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

666.24 ₽

at 166.56

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 460.24 ₽ +28.99 (+2.0%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Red Tire

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

119.10 ₽

at 119.10

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

386.40 ₽

at 128.80

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

999.36 ₽

at 166.56

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 504.86 ₽ +134.11 (+8.9%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

115.20 ₽

at 115.20

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Red Tire

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

119.10 ₽

at 119.10

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

1 332.48 ₽

at 166.56

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 566.78 ₽ +221.94 (+14.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

in profit

best

AUG | Carved Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

3 896.58 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117230

966.38 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Dusk Ruins

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

3 240.60 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

813.35 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Green Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.060923

3 444.41 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Infrastructure

Factory New

float up to 0.052769

673.26 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Interlock

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

593.46 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Schematic

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

761.68 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Cache Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 3 The Anubis Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 only The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −154.99 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +55.44 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102060 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 274.10₽ · invest 1 498.10₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Field-Tested); MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163017 instead of 0.164753; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.003961 instead of 0.004490
Craft 2108083 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 261.96₽ · invest 1 497.15₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rain Station (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Field-Tested); MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161623 instead of 0.164753; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.003537 instead of 0.004490
Craft 2107621 · The Ancient Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 260.05₽ · invest 1 509.71₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Astrolabe (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Field-Tested); MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164988 instead of 0.164753; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.004561 instead of 0.004490
Craft 2106318 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 255.48₽ · invest 1 495.75₽
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Vendetta (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Field-Tested); MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161719 instead of 0.164753; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.003566 instead of 0.004490
Craft 2107804 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 254.50₽ · invest 1 496.20₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Field-Tested); MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162040 instead of 0.164753; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.003664 instead of 0.004490
Craft 2108048 · The Ancient Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 252.71₽ · invest 1 501.33₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Field-Tested); MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164174 instead of 0.164753; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.004313 instead of 0.004490
Craft 2107805 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 252.46₽ · invest 1 500.85₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Field-Tested); MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164179 instead of 0.164753; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.004490
Craft 2101446 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 251.86₽ · invest 1 505.25₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Field-Tested); MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162351 instead of 0.164753; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.003759 instead of 0.004490

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build