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The Ancient Collection + The Control Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +37.36₴

Invest 144.79₴

Average return 182.15₴

ROI +25.8%

Chance of profit 75%

With float: invest at least 337.39 ₴, profit at most −155.23 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

59.15 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

39.35 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

×1

P250 | Forest Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

46.29 ₴

at 46.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144.79 ₴ +37.36 (+25.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

49.29 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

39.35 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

×2

P250 | Forest Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

92.58 ₴

at 46.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 181.22 ₴ +22.98 (+12.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

39.44 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

39.35 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

×3

P250 | Forest Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

138.88 ₴

at 46.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 217.66 ₴ +8.59 (+4.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 75%
Losing outcome 25%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

94.41 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081846

180.40 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

230.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

231.51 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | The Bronze

Factory New

float up to 0.032307

1 103.59 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Switch Board

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

346.56 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.012923

123.69 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Nitro

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

176.91 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Control Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Control Collection Variant 3 The Rising Sun Collection instead of The Control Collection Variant 4 only The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Control Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Control Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.72 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19.85 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Control Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2107685 · The Ancient Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 35.94₴ · invest 167.32₴
profit on prices without salesat least −16 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Forest Night (Field-Tested)
Craft 2108125 · The Ancient Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 35.25₴ · invest 127.97₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir MAC-10 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Forest Night (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Control Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build