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The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +51.42₴

Invest 106.65₴

Average return 158.07₴

ROI +48.2%

Chance of profit 72%

With float: invest at least 255.01 ₴, profit at most −96.94 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

59.15 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

39.35 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

8.15 ₴

at 8.15

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 106.65 ₴ +51.42 (+48.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 28%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

94.41 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081846

180.40 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

230.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

231.51 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

157.16 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

262.64 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

110.59 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

112.69 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Rising Sun Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.19 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.65 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2105134 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 51.75₴ · invest 111.37₴
sells slowly

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Framework (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162876 instead of 0.168041; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003919 instead of 0.005490
Craft 2107654 · The Ancient Collection + The Havoc Collection · profit 49.52₴ · invest 126.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Phoenix Chalk (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162876 instead of 0.168041; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003919 instead of 0.005490
Craft 2102854 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 49.22₴ · invest 103.80₴
sells slowly

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167488 instead of 0.168041; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005322 instead of 0.005490
Craft 2107194 · The Ancient Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 46.62₴ · invest 100.46₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164519 instead of 0.168041; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004418 instead of 0.005490

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build