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The Arabesque Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3.18$

Invest 13.82$

Average return 17.01$

ROI +23.0%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 33.67 $, profit at most −16.66 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

FAMAS | Snake Song

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

8.11 $

at 0.90

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Hard Water

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

5.71 $

at 5.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.82 $ +3.18 (+23.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

FAMAS | Snake Song

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

0.46 $

at 0.46

Steam

×7

FAMAS | Snake Song

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

6.31 $

at 0.90

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Hard Water

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

11.43 $

at 5.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.20 $ +1.81 (+9.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

FAMAS | Snake Song

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

6.31 $

at 0.90

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Cut Out

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

4.81 $

at 4.81

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Hard Water

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

11.43 $

at 5.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.55 $ +0.45 (+2.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19.31 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.30 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.73 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Orbit Mk01

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

108.36 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Woodsman

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

37.81 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Red Rock

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46.94 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P90 | Death Grip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32.64 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

float up to 0.035699

27.09 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.83 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.68 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2105181 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 2.89$ · invest 13.87$
rare inputs

Souvenir Negev | Infrastructure (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New); FAMAS | Snake Song (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076489 instead of 0.076395

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build