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The Arabesque Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +338.65₴

Invest 1 994.46₴

Average return 2 333.11₴

ROI +17.0%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 4 871.33 ₴, profit at most −2 538.21 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

1 309.96 ₴

at 163.74

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

319.99 ₴

at 319.99

Steam

×1

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

364.51 ₴

at 364.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 994.46 ₴ +338.65 (+17.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −87 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

1 146.21 ₴

at 163.74

Steam

×1

Nova | Rising Skull

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

265.00 ₴

at 265.00

Steam

×2

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

652.40 ₴

at 326.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 063.61 ₴ +147.29 (+7.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

1 919.34 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Falak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

3 587.37 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141999

2 699.05 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 649.05 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

803.75 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +176.53 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +272.35 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2104801 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 375.37₴ · invest 2 006.67₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162216 instead of 0.164514; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074249 instead of 0.075048
Craft 2109007 · The Arabesque Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 364.83₴ · invest 1 806.24₴
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.164514; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075048
Craft 2109251 · The Arabesque Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 364.70₴ · invest 2 073.50₴
outcome without sales rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161965 instead of 0.164514; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074162 instead of 0.075048

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build