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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7.57$

Invest 24.20$

Average return 31.77$

ROI +31.3%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 59.84 $, profit at most −28.07 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

8.11 $

at 8.11

Steam

×9

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

16.09 $

at 1.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.20 $ +7.57 (+31.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62.93 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23.83 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.51 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

29.99 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Undertow

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

51.01 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.52 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2122188 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 8.39$ · invest 27.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075233
Craft 2122159 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 8.28$ · invest 24.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075233

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build