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The Ascent Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +105.46₴

Invest 289.53₴

Average return 394.99₴

ROI +36.4%

Chance of profit 48%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 689.81₴ · profit at most −294.82₴ (−42.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear) × 5 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 103.51 → 255.68 ₴

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) × 4 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 157.72 → 373.01 ₴

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 28.30 → 61.13 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

103.51 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×4

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

157.72 ₴

at 39.43

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

28.30 ₴

at 28.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 289.53 ₴ +105.46 (+36.4%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

82.81 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

39.43 ₴

at 39.43

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

141.50 ₴

at 28.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 263.74 ₴ +78.21 (+29.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −93 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

10.34 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

24.72 ₴

at 24.72

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

226.40 ₴

at 28.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 261.46 ₴ +27.47 (+10.5%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

103.51 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×3

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

118.29 ₴

at 39.43

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

28.30 ₴

at 28.30

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

34.11 ₴

at 34.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 284.21 ₴ +97.52 (+34.3%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

103.51 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

78.86 ₴

at 39.43

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

28.30 ₴

at 28.30

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

68.22 ₴

at 34.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 278.89 ₴ +89.58 (+32.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 2%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

706.56 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

232.41 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

142.50 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

613.40 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

332.36 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

179.82 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Cache Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +56.59 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +91.74 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2110495 · The Ascent Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 107.74₴ · invest 275.00₴
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079149 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.008005 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110571 · The Ascent Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 107.30₴ · invest 286.70₴
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077360 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.006440 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110673 · The Ascent Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 107.20₴ · invest 268.25₴
P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074929 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.004312 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2111064 · The Ascent Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 106.53₴ · invest 277.04₴
SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074504 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.003941 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110720 · The Ascent Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 106.01₴ · invest 284.29₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075806 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.005080 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110587 · The Ascent Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 105.54₴ · invest 271.05₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074971 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.004350 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110659 · The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 105.47₴ · invest 293.28₴
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110822 · The Ascent Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 102.05₴ · invest 274.54₴
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077566 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.006620 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110688 · The Ascent Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 101.64₴ · invest 276.18₴
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110628 · The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 101.29₴ · invest 273.58₴
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077430 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.006501 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110943 · The Ascent Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 100.93₴ · invest 283.97₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077466 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.006533 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2111085 · The Ascent Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 99.62₴ · invest 284.50₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077329 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.006413 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110538 · The Ascent Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 99.62₴ · invest 292.73₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077489 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.006553 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110525 · The Ascent Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 99.15₴ · invest 285.70₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077133 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.006241 instead of 0.004942
Craft 2110984 · The Ascent Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 97.83₴ · invest 278.49₴
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075648; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.004942

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Phoenix Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build