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The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +18.09$

Invest 38.32$

Average return 56.41$

ROI +47.2%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 90.43 $, profit at most −34.02 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

5.42 $

at 5.42

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

17.71 $

at 2.53

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

15.19 $

at 7.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.32 $ +18.09 (+47.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

10.84 $

at 5.42

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

17.71 $

at 2.53

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

7.60 $

at 7.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.14 $ +17.19 (+47.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3.08 $

at 3.08

Steam

×4

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

21.67 $

at 5.42

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2.08 $

at 2.08

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

10.12 $

at 2.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.95 $ +7.15 (+19.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

6.16 $

at 3.08

Steam

×4

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

21.67 $

at 5.42

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

10.12 $

at 2.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.95 $ +3.06 (+8.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

16.25 $

at 5.42

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.08 $

at 2.08

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

15.18 $

at 2.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.51 $ +16.74 (+50.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

134.33 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

38.87 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

32.05 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Stratosphere

Factory New

float up to 0.047058

33.00 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.56 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.86 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2134810 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.74$ · invest 40.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079905 instead of 0.079622; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008667 instead of 0.008420
Craft 2138266 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 18.71$ · invest 37.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078387 instead of 0.079622; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.007338 instead of 0.008420
Craft 2123572 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.59$ · invest 35.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078981 instead of 0.079622; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.007858 instead of 0.008420
Craft 2137467 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.58$ · invest 37.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080206 instead of 0.079622; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.008420
Craft 2117491 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.53$ · invest 36.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080206 instead of 0.079622; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.008420
Craft 2138208 · The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 17.63$ · invest 40.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.079622; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.004289 instead of 0.008420
Craft 2138245 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 16.88$ · invest 43.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079355 instead of 0.079622; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008186 instead of 0.008420

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build