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The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +13.01$

Invest 92.30$

Average return 105.31$

ROI +14.1%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 233.03 $, profit at most −127.72 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

20.68 $

at 20.68

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

71.62 $

at 7.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 92.30 $ +13.01 (+14.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

20.68 $

at 20.68

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

25.42 $

at 25.42

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

63.66 $

at 7.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.76 $ +7.52 (+6.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

20.68 $

at 20.68

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

50.83 $

at 25.42

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

55.71 $

at 7.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 127.21 $ +2.03 (+1.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

91.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

123.67 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

251.84 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080499

238.14 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.54 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2120071 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 13.87$ · invest 79.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074565 instead of 0.077999
Craft 2114167 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 13.55$ · invest 81.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build