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The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +4.90$

Invest 56.64$

Average return 61.54$

ROI +8.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 135.47 $, profit at most −73.93 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

21.03 $

at 21.03

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

30.54 $

at 3.82

Steam

×1

P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

5.06 $

at 5.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.64 $ +4.90 (+8.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.114130

47.37 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138586

64.78 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081521

207.78 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

198.18 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.38 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.68 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2136918 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4.99$ · invest 51.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164318 instead of 0.161702; P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074980 instead of 0.074070

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build