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The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +15.75$

Invest 52.37$

Average return 68.12$

ROI +30.1%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 128.02 $, profit at most −59.90 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

20.68 $

at 20.68

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

31.70 $

at 3.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.37 $ +15.75 (+30.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163043

35.69 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.130434

87.50 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081521

220.01 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

238.14 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.46 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2137281 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 17.06$ · invest 53.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −5 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173840 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2117444 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 16.19$ · invest 44.39$
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161676 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2137248 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 15.61$ · invest 43.57$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165584 instead of 0.163043

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build