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The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +99.54₴

Invest 299.67₴

Average return 399.21₴

ROI +33.2%

Chance of profit 54%

With float: invest at least 757.54 ₴, profit at most −358.33 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1045

14.35 ₴

at 14.35

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

28.93 ₴

at 28.93

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

256.39 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 299.67 ₴ +99.54 (+33.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1035

28.70 ₴

at 14.35

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

28.93 ₴

at 28.93

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

224.34 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 281.97 ₴ +92.27 (+32.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −66 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1031

71.74 ₴

at 14.35

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Origami

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

71.97 ₴

at 23.99

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

64.10 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 207.81 ₴ +16.60 (+8.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 54%
Losing outcome 44%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

276.46 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

837.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

407.96 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

229.17 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

687.78 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Worm God

Factory New

float up to 0.008823

204.25 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position

Factory New

float up to 0.013725

202.62 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

335.16 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

float up to 0.251960

60.55 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +32.09 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +80.90 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2124487 · The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 109.24₴ · invest 307.89₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.077308; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.006395
Craft 2124291 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 106.70₴ · invest 306.24₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.077308; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.006395
Craft 2121232 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 106.28₴ · invest 295.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.077308; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.006395
Craft 2124393 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 105.57₴ · invest 301.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −5 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.077308; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.006395
Craft 2123860 · The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 105.51₴ · invest 296.14₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.077308; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.006395
Craft 2123767 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 101.55₴ · invest 305.57₴
profit on prices without salesat least −15 ₴ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.077308; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.006395
Craft 2123706 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 98.74₴ · invest 293.19₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.077308; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.006395
Craft 2123993 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 98.57₴ · invest 292.36₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 ₴ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.077308; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.006395
Craft 2123732 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 98.32₴ · invest 293.84₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.077308; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.006395

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build