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The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +118 638.42₸

Invest 222 676.57₸

Average return 341 314.98₸

ROI +53.3%

Chance of profit 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 543 212.11₸ · profit at most −201 897.13₸ (−37.2%) · chance of profit at most 45%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 19 444.11 → 41 999.28 ₸

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) × 3 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 35 602.49 → 80 461.63 ₸

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) × 6 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 167 629.96 → 420 751.21 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 45.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −161 341.91 ₸.

+ a third collection

How to build

13% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 13% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

19 444.11 ₸

at 19 444.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0800

35 602.49 ₸

at 11 867.50

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

167 629.96 ₸

at 27 938.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222 676.57 ₸ +118 638.42 (+53.3%)

12% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 12% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

38 888.22 ₸

at 19 444.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0794

35 602.49 ₸

at 11 867.50

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

139 691.64 ₸

at 27 938.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214 182.35 ₸ +110 433.00 (+51.6%)

11% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 11% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

58 332.33 ₸

at 19 444.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

35 602.49 ₸

at 11 867.50

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

111 753.31 ₸

at 27 938.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 205 688.13 ₸ +102 227.53 (+49.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −10 540 ₸

11% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 11% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

77 776.44 ₸

at 19 444.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

35 602.49 ₸

at 11 867.50

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

83 814.98 ₸

at 27 938.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 197 193.91 ₸ +94 022.11 (+47.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −146 899 ₸

11% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 11% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

10 587.17 ₸

at 10 587.17

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

155 552.88 ₸

at 19 444.11

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

11 867.50 ₸

at 11 867.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178 007.55 ₸ +29 710.14 (+16.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

634 876.09 ₸ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

107 928.36 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103076

69 487.16 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox

Field-Tested

float up to 0.365384

369 854.32 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +106 690.96 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +115 737.22 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 25 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2114932 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 121 439.96₸ · invest 210 608.78₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079359 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2122124 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 119 774.33₸ · invest 219 232.35₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2133876 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 119 656.01₸ · invest 243 118.99₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074354 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003810 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2138166 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 119 548.27₸ · invest 231 450.28₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003607 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2136993 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 119 381.10₸ · invest 210 042.89₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2117674 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 118 858.88₸ · invest 215 110.38₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080407 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009106 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2126304 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 118 847.77₸ · invest 208 767.43₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2113909 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 118 215.42₸ · invest 217 756.23₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078748 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007654 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2119643 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 117 746.61₸ · invest 209 362.35₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080135 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008868 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2135491 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 117 495.33₸ · invest 213 321.14₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078748 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007654 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2124548 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 117 354.96₸ · invest 216 994.39₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078893 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007781 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2138890 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 700.96₸ · invest 218 210.31₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079955 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008711 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2127984 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 667.67₸ · invest 216 560.25₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080455 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009148 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2137351 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 650.64₸ · invest 212 442.87₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2132820 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 431.69₸ · invest 214 581.85₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080223 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008945 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2129994 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 206.97₸ · invest 216 279.36₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2125451 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 122.43₸ · invest 217 931.66₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2123254 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 115 775.02₸ · invest 212 191.06₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2128667 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 115 358.96₸ · invest 215 644.95₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080135 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008868 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2131522 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 114 550.28₸ · invest 221 388.54₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080455 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009148 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2135884 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 114 467.47₸ · invest 217 584.01₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080180 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008907 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2127239 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 113 249.92₸ · invest 219 996.66₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080455 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009148 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2116630 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 112 240.50₸ · invest 224 431.49₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2138741 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 111 829.08₸ · invest 222 232.76₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.008804
Craft 2138572 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 111 215.26₸ · invest 221 012.94₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080593 instead of 0.080062; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009268 instead of 0.008804

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build