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The Cobblestone Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit −352.99$

Invest 357.61$

Average return 4.62$

ROI −98.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 357.99 $, profit −353.37 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 6 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon

Field-Tested

any lot

350.01 $

at 350.01

Steam

×9

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Battle-Scarred

any lot

7.60 $

at 0.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 357.61 $ −352.99 (−98.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.667536

5.57 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.953623

7.08 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.762898

5.05 $ 30.00%

Steam

M4A1-S | Knight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095362

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Cobblestone Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 only The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Cobblestone Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Cobblestone Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Cobblestone Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Cobblestone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −353.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −353.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Cobblestone Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2131067 · The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection · profit −339.25$ · invest 343.86$
no outcome price rare inputs

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) instead of Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.740667 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2131068 · The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection · profit −339.25$ · invest 343.86$
no outcome price rare inputs

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) instead of Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Field-Tested)
Craft 2131069 · The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection · profit −339.32$ · invest 343.86$
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) instead of Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Eye of Athena: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.624894 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2131491 · The Horizon Collection + The St. Marc Collection · profit −373.05$ · invest 377.62$
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Eye of Athena: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; Sawed-Off | Devourer: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.610190 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2131492 · The Horizon Collection + The St. Marc Collection · profit −373.08$ · invest 377.62$
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Eye of Athena: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.697461 instead of 1.000000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Cobblestone Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build