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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +13.87$

Invest 79.51$

Average return 93.38$

ROI +17.4%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 205.41 $, profit at most −112.02 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

7.89 $

at 7.89

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

71.62 $

at 7.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 79.51 $ +13.87 (+17.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

91.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

123.67 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106874

135.69 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

80.00 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.62 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.26 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2114167 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 13.55$ · invest 81.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.074565
Craft 2113280 · The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 13.01$ · invest 92.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.074565

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build