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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +4.41$

Invest 58.60$

Average return 63.01$

ROI +7.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 150.92 $, profit at most −87.91 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

6.81 $

at 6.81

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4788

51.79 $

at 5.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.60 $ +4.41 (+7.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 50%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.507692

70.22 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.406153

77.12 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

66.65 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

float up to 0.253846

56.52 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.15 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.60 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2118739 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 4.67$ · invest 55.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.523667 instead of 0.478842
Craft 2123114 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.58$ · invest 56.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.558486 instead of 0.478842
Craft 2121222 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 4.47$ · invest 56.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.562499 instead of 0.478842
Craft 2122446 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 4.47$ · invest 63.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.555609 instead of 0.478842
Craft 2118740 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 4.45$ · invest 55.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.588341 instead of 0.478842
Craft 2120081 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 4.41$ · invest 58.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.391208 instead of 0.383670; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.538064 instead of 0.478842

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build