The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +182.42₽

Invest 350.56₽

Average return 532.98₽

ROI +52.0%

Chance of profit 32%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 887.52₽ · profit at most −354.54₽ (−40.0%) · chance of profit at most 16%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 53.76 → 118.81 ₽

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) × 8 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 296.80 → 768.71 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

53.76 ₽

at 26.88

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

296.80 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 350.56 ₽ +182.42 (+52.0%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

56.64 ₽

at 14.16

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

80.64 ₽

at 26.88

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

111.30 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 248.58 ₽ +101.59 (+40.9%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

14.16 ₽

at 14.16

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

80.64 ₽

at 26.88

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

36.13 ₽

at 36.13

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

185.50 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 316.43 ₽ +143.42 (+45.3%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

26.88 ₽

at 26.88

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

259.70 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

159.40 ₽

at 79.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 445.98 ₽ +123.56 (+27.7%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

70.80 ₽

at 14.16

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

80.64 ₽

at 26.88

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

74.20 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 225.64 ₽ +87.97 (+39.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

319.71 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

377.26 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 952.71 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

665.62 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

169.77 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

127.85 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

337.91 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121153

226.00 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

380.30 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

310.74 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +110.41 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +176.75 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2123996 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 179.86₽ · invest 371.00₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165118 instead of 0.161902
Craft 2120096 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 176.84₽ · invest 330.12₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162243 instead of 0.161902; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162243 instead of 0.161902

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build