Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection
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The Danger Zone Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 2121130 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 628.47₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 25 960.32₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 30 588.79₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +17.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 67 960.85₽ · profit at most −37 372.06₽ (−55.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 669.78 → 1 446.72 ₽
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) × 9 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 25 290.54 → 66 514.12 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −25 714 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −25 714 ₽: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1707
669.78 ₽
at 669.78
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.170731f′ (normalized) 0.213414wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 32 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 1 074.57 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 11 · from 694.39 ₽ (float 0.1632) · craft not before 18.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×9
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1707
25 290.54 ₽
at 2 810.06
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.170731f′ (normalized) 0.170731wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 21) · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 25 960.32 ₽ +4 628.47 (+17.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.174999900 outcomes come out up to 0.323499, 0.069999, 0.163749, 0.087499 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov
Field-Tested
float up to 0.323499
64 618.20 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 56 189.74 ₽The Winter Offensive Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 49 885.09 ₽ (you get 43 378.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 775 sell on Market.CSGO: 40 264.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 44 149.80 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 40 413.97 ₽ listings: 35 on CS.Money: ~ 42 740.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 36 722.99 ₽ listings: 35
at a loss
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
12 226.98 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New)net 10 632.16 ₽The Winter Offensive Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 068.49 ₽ (you get 8 755.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 205 Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 16 337.74 ₽ listings: 6 Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov
Field-Tested
float up to 0.163749
5 658.61 ₽ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 4 920.53 ₽ sells 62 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 039.51 ₽ (you get 5 251.74 ₽)) · buy orders: 834 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 235.25 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 740.41 · lots 83 on CSFloat: from 4 750.39 ₽ listings: 94 on CS.Money: ~ 4 968.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 927.81 ₽ listings: 79
at a loss
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087499
6 276.88 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)net 5 458.16 ₽
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 468.14 ₽ (you get 5 624.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 524 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 486.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 015.80 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 5 084.85 ₽ listings: 47 on CS.Money: ~ 5 441.39 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 434.60 ₽ listings: 42

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work