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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +886.92₸

Invest 1 284.71₸

Average return 2 171.64₸

ROI +69.0%

Chance of profit 98%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 226.72₸ · profit at most −1 055.08₸ (−32.7%) · chance of profit at most 4%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 961.17 → 2 527.88 ₸

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 323.54 → 698.85 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

961.17 ₸

at 106.80

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

323.54 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 284.71 ₸ +886.92 (+69.0%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

147.37 ₸

at 49.12

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

213.59 ₸

at 106.80

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

1 617.72 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 978.68 ₸ +633.62 (+32.0%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

147.37 ₸

at 49.12

Steam

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

584.12 ₸

at 292.06

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

1 617.72 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 349.20 ₸ +483.36 (+20.6%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

49.12 ₸

at 49.12

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

640.78 ₸

at 106.80

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

292.06 ₸

at 292.06

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

647.09 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 629.05 ₸ +762.92 (+46.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 98%
Losing outcome 2%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 675.26 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 909.83 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 564.38 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 810.73 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 893.37 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 790.93 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 456.71 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 118.51 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 313.50 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

507.90 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +650.88 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +848.44 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2115790 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 925.45₸ · invest 1 106.02₸
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2121967 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 925.39₸ · invest 1 181.71₸
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2116806 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 905.39₸ · invest 1 218.22₸
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076552 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2121395 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 892.39₸ · invest 1 193.95₸
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2111882 · The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 886.94₸ · invest 1 129.44₸
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2121554 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 852.34₸ · invest 1 095.49₸
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076827 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2121292 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 848.27₸ · invest 1 112.06₸
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2121187 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 844.76₸ · invest 1 085.82₸
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2119992 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 843.26₸ · invest 1 146.06₸
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2121329 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 842.35₸ · invest 1 269.00₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2121722 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 841.10₸ · invest 1 190.74₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2106527 · The Achroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 834.01₸ · invest 1 305.77₸
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build