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The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +104.62$

Invest 205.70$

Average return 310.32$

ROI +50.9%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 505.91 $, profit at most −195.59 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −74 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

134.03 $

at 22.34

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Snack Attack

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

71.67 $

at 17.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 205.70 $ +104.62 (+50.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

22.40 $

at 11.20

Steam

×5

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

111.69 $

at 22.34

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Snack Attack

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1710

53.75 $

at 17.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.84 $ +95.17 (+50.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −72 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

111.69 $

at 22.34

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Snack Attack

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

71.67 $

at 17.92

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

52.95 $

at 52.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.31 $ +101.32 (+42.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −69 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

89.35 $

at 22.34

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Snack Attack

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

71.67 $

at 17.92

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

105.90 $

at 52.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 266.92 $ +98.02 (+36.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

67.02 $

at 22.34

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Snack Attack

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

71.67 $

at 17.92

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

158.85 $

at 52.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 297.53 $ +94.72 (+31.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

244.21 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

218.27 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Leet Museo

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

756.93 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333.70 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +55.86 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +92.17 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2128292 · The Gamma Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 135.90$ · invest 164.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2132326 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 118.33$ · invest 123.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164868 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2117280 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 116.10$ · invest 199.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165694 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2119197 · The Clutch Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 111.39$ · invest 128.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164495 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2134368 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 109.72$ · invest 131.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2128293 · The Gamma Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 109.44$ · invest 166.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164913 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2114557 · The CS20 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 108.53$ · invest 140.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2125882 · The Fracture Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 107.44$ · invest 133.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 4; Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161855 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2134327 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 105.99$ · invest 141.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested), R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 4; Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164244 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2125883 · The Fracture Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 105.60$ · invest 164.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New), Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 4; Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163080 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2128294 · The Gamma Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 104.84$ · invest 191.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New), Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 4; Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162764 instead of 0.167164
Craft 2134398 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 103.03$ · invest 139.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New); Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165916 instead of 0.167164

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build