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The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +37.96$

Invest 61.69$

Average return 99.65$

ROI +61.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 152.56 $, profit at most −52.91 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

44.90 $

at 5.61

Steam

×1

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

11.20 $

at 11.20

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

5.60 $

at 5.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.69 $ +37.96 (+61.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

123.13 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

119.48 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | In Living Color

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.118499

44.37 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | The Traitor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

64.19 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +27.51 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.88 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2121286 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 38.16$ · invest 62.47$
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076061
Craft 2114130 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 37.87$ · invest 61.96$
rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161965 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074162 instead of 0.076061
Craft 2121210 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 37.67$ · invest 64.14$
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076061
Craft 2122014 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 36.91$ · invest 68.55$
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.076061
Craft 2116826 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 36.67$ · invest 69.76$
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168442 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076414 instead of 0.076061
Craft 2121739 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 36.66$ · invest 64.29$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076061
Craft 2121387 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 36.55$ · invest 70.49$
rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076061
Craft 2121709 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 35.44$ · invest 68.97$
rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163885 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074829 instead of 0.076061
Craft 2121256 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 34.97$ · invest 65.40$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076061
Craft 2121524 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 34.59$ · invest 66.07$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.076061
Craft 2122120 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 34.35$ · invest 68.65$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.167427; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076061

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build