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The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +147.46₴

Invest 567.93₴

Average return 715.40₴

ROI +26.0%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 1 476.37 ₴, profit at most −760.98 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

36.80 ₴

at 36.80

Steam

×9

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

531.14 ₴

at 59.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 567.93 ₴ +147.46 (+26.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 344.08 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

584.39 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 942.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

240.95 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

328.16 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

265.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189.18 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

353.07 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

179.36 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

187.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +35.86 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +99.48 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2129356 · The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 148.16₴ · invest 566.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)
Craft 2111774 · The Bank Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 143.12₴ · invest 604.66₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075050 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2125455 · The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 142.99₴ · invest 562.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)
Craft 2132234 · The Italy Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 141.39₴ · invest 560.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2131999 · The Huntsman Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 139.43₴ · invest 597.20₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075214 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2137961 · The Safehouse Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 137.71₴ · invest 562.96₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2139217 · The Train Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 134.49₴ · invest 562.56₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.077088

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build