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The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +867.94₽

Invest 1 715.84₽

Average return 2 583.78₽

ROI +50.6%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 4 348.33 ₽, profit at most −1 764.55 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1 366.20 ₽

at 151.80

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

349.64 ₽

at 349.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 715.84 ₽ +867.94 (+50.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 ₽

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1 062.60 ₽

at 151.80

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

263.62 ₽

at 263.62

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

699.28 ₽

at 349.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 025.50 ₽ +397.05 (+19.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −187 ₽

5% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

171.84 ₽

at 85.92

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

607.20 ₽

at 151.80

Steam

×4

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1 398.56 ₽

at 349.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 177.60 ₽ +164.34 (+7.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 35%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 342.78 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 022.80 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 826.56 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 000.00 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076799

1 996.54 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076799

1 445.79 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 105.66 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +511.33 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +789.06 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2121758 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 957.07₽ · invest 1 520.23₽
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.075456
Craft 2122064 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 954.47₽ · invest 1 739.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076804 instead of 0.075456
Craft 2121300 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 952.02₽ · invest 1 526.20₽
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075456

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build