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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +916.08₽

Invest 727.74₽

Average return 1 643.82₽

ROI +125.9%

Chance of profit 36%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 773.77₽ · profit at most −129.95₽ (−7.3%) · chance of profit at most 24%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 6 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 363.18 → 911.58 ₽

Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) × 4 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 364.56 → 862.18 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

363.18 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

364.56 ₽

at 91.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 727.74 ₽ +916.08 (+125.9%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

302.65 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

364.56 ₽

at 91.14

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Sonar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

350.01 ₽

at 350.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 017.22 ₽ +889.61 (+87.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

522.14 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 582.12 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

770.51 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

432.82 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

95.02 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 041.41 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

742.88 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 622.86 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

697.29 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

3 421.49 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +595.00 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +736.42 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2127409 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 1 035.90₽ · invest 808.02₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129460 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 979.98₽ · invest 827.34₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129599 · The Glove Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 964.78₽ · invest 680.88₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129869 · The Glove Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 959.25₽ · invest 612.12₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2118054 · The Chroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 946.58₽ · invest 812.52₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2110736 · The Ascent Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 940.00₽ · invest 811.38₽
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2117076 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 936.79₽ · invest 653.10₽
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163312 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129771 · The Glove Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 936.78₽ · invest 705.24₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129689 · The Glove Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 923.16₽ · invest 738.24₽
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2128104 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 908.10₽ · invest 639.96₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129813 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 896.37₽ · invest 874.20₽
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129451 · The Glove Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 877.35₽ · invest 797.28₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2126484 · The Gallery Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 866.03₽ · invest 710.10₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165153 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129640 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 864.62₽ · invest 622.26₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2106641 · The Achroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 856.67₽ · invest 751.38₽
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164685 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129619 · The Glove Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 850.07₽ · invest 751.08₽
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129924 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 849.77₽ · invest 628.20₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2114375 · The CS20 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 849.73₽ · invest 721.44₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164398 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2113446 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 844.41₽ · invest 641.76₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129951 · The Glove Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 808.59₽ · invest 880.92₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2120342 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 786.20₽ · invest 652.95₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162287 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build