The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +179.86₽

Invest 371.00₽

Average return 550.86₽

ROI +48.5%

Chance of profit 56%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 909.69₽ · profit at most −358.83₽ (−39.5%) · chance of profit at most 16%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) × 4 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 148.40 → 350.97 ₽

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) × 6 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 222.60 → 558.73 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

148.40 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

222.60 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 371.00 ₽ +179.86 (+48.5%)

10% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 10% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

74.20 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

318.80 ₽

at 79.70

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

148.40 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 541.40 ₽ +104.46 (+19.3%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

111.30 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

159.40 ₽

at 79.70

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

185.50 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 456.20 ₽ +142.16 (+31.2%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

37.10 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

116.16 ₽

at 19.36

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

111.30 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 264.56 ₽ +143.79 (+54.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 24%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385.68 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Factory New

float up to 0.047031

407.53 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

650.93 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439.61 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.043320

191.13 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

697.10 ₽ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 321.05 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

1 952.71 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

665.62 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

169.77 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +104.67 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +168.61 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2120095 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 182.42₽ · invest 350.56₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161902 instead of 0.165118
Craft 2120096 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 176.84₽ · invest 330.12₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162243 instead of 0.165118

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build