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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +161.47₽

Invest 433.05₽

Average return 594.52₽

ROI +37.3%

Chance of profit 96%

With float: invest at least 1 039.43 ₽, profit at most −444.91 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

60.53 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

×4

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

108.92 ₽

at 27.23

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

263.60 ₽

at 52.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 433.05 ₽ +161.47 (+37.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 94%
Losing outcome 4%
About break-even 2%

in profit

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

761.68 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.057399

673.03 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

617.45 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

522.14 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 582.12 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

770.51 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

432.82 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

95.02 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +64.05 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +124.22 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 27 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2117289 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 164.93₽ · invest 420.61₽
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163108 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.003989 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2134698 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 162.72₽ · invest 405.52₽
FAMAS | Crypsis (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162540 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.003816 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2134752 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 161.94₽ · invest 384.73₽
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167863 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005436 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2125889 · The Fracture Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 161.41₽ · invest 384.57₽
Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168028 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005486 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2134803 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 161.37₽ · invest 406.39₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168189 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005536 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2125017 · The Fever Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 160.91₽ · invest 385.78₽
P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169616 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005970 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2128298 · The Gamma Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 160.14₽ · invest 418.42₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163243 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004030 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2132331 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 159.98₽ · invest 383.64₽
Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166352 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004976 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2134736 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 159.81₽ · invest 385.51₽
Galil AR | Destroyer (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166382 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004985 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2119203 · The Clutch Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 159.65₽ · invest 393.02₽
MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162293 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.003741 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2120584 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 159.57₽ · invest 400.84₽
SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165177 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004619 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2121669 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 158.06₽ · invest 392.50₽
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170771 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.006321 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2119204 · The Clutch Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 157.97₽ · invest 391.06₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166382 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004985 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2117290 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 157.59₽ · invest 403.34₽
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162711 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.003868 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2134831 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 156.97₽ · invest 402.38₽
SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170771 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.006321 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2132132 · The Italy Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 155.58₽ · invest 392.03₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164017 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004266 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2132332 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 155.00₽ · invest 397.65₽
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163370 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004069 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2114563 · The CS20 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 154.91₽ · invest 418.41₽
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170771 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.006321 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2125890 · The Fracture Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 154.24₽ · invest 400.75₽
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2134881 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 153.66₽ · invest 415.14₽
pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170771 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.006321 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2122736 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 153.58₽ · invest 395.84₽
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163196 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004016 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2134681 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 152.90₽ · invest 415.47₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163243 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004030 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2134768 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 151.65₽ · invest 412.02₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170771 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.006321 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2134672 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 150.47₽ · invest 436.94₽
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162813 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.003899 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2134859 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 150.42₽ · invest 416.46₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2114564 · The CS20 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 150.41₽ · invest 432.00₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163272 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004039 instead of 0.004069
Craft 2113599 · The Breakout Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 149.53₽ · invest 418.72₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162813 instead of 0.163371; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.003899 instead of 0.004069

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build