to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +91.88₴

Invest 222.38₴

Average return 314.26₴

ROI +41.3%

Chance of profit 94%

With float: invest at least 548.02 ₴, profit at most −233.75 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

9% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

32.05 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

157.36 ₴

at 19.67

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

32.98 ₴

at 32.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.38 ₴ +91.88 (+41.3%)

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

96.15 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

8.22 ₴

at 8.22

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

118.02 ₴

at 19.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.38 ₴ +62.73 (+28.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 6%
About break-even 60%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

619.45 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

float up to 0.062533

256.41 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

258.63 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

276.46 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

88.78 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.048533

407.96 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

229.17 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187599

50.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +52.21 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +74.88 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2120705 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 96.95₴ · invest 208.65₴
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075701 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004988 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2136513 · The Radiant Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 96.75₴ · invest 213.60₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077055 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006173 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2132462 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 96.69₴ · invest 203.64₴
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077293 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006381 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2125984 · The Fracture Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 94.37₴ · invest 205.28₴
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2136483 · The Radiant Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 94.23₴ · invest 212.18₴
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077055 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006173 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2113674 · The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 93.77₴ · invest 214.80₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076859 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006002 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2117378 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 93.70₴ · invest 215.80₴
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077087 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006201 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2136387 · The Radiant Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 93.64₴ · invest 207.60₴
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2119311 · The Clutch Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 93.60₴ · invest 207.95₴
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077130 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006238 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2136401 · The Radiant Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 92.46₴ · invest 208.43₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077358 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006438 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2126859 · The Gallery Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 91.22₴ · invest 220.83₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077296 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006384 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2136415 · The Radiant Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 90.55₴ · invest 220.40₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077055 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006173 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2135610 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 90.18₴ · invest 213.08₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077193 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006293 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2132976 · The Lake Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 87.99₴ · invest 210.95₴
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074407 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003856 instead of 0.006382

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build