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The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +135.88₴

Invest 345.47₴

Average return 481.36₴

ROI +39.3%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 860.92 ₴, profit at most −379.56 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

256.39 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×2

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

89.08 ₴

at 44.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 345.47 ₴ +135.88 (+39.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −146 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

160.25 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×2

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

89.08 ₴

at 44.54

Steam

×3

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

317.68 ₴

at 105.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 567.01 ₴ +0.10 (+0.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −95 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

192.29 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×2

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

89.08 ₴

at 44.54

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

211.79 ₴

at 105.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 493.16 ₴ +45.36 (+9.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

224.34 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×2

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

89.08 ₴

at 44.54

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

105.89 ₴

at 105.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 419.32 ₴ +90.62 (+21.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

28.93 ₴

at 28.93

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

256.39 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×1

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

44.54 ₴

at 44.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 329.86 ₴ +122.91 (+37.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 16%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

276.46 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

837.69 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

407.96 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

229.17 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

687.78 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

1 337.32 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

518.01 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

594.30 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +58.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +113.55 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build