to all crafts

The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +535.61₽

Invest 1 442.30₽

Average return 1 977.91₽

ROI +37.1%

Chance of profit 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 461.93₽ · profit at most −1 484.02₽ (−42.9%) · chance of profit at most 30%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 87.88 → 189.82 ₽

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) × 7 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 820.12 → 2 091.31 ₽

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 534.30 → 1 180.80 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

87.88 ₽

at 87.88

Steam

×7

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

820.12 ₽

at 117.16

Steam

×2

P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

534.30 ₽

at 267.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 442.30 ₽ +535.61 (+37.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | The Outsiders

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 656.79 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Epicenter

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

1 763.38 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

935.89 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

638.53 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

865.50 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

529.30 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +97.41 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +425.70 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2121346 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 536.91₽ · invest 1 506.22₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2126839 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 532.61₽ · invest 1 465.71₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gauss (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2115952 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 530.52₽ · invest 1 492.82₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear); P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075149 instead of 0.074298; P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004505 instead of 0.003760
Craft 2126436 · The Gallery Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 526.44₽ · invest 1 554.68₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2116984 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 507.19₽ · invest 1 530.17₽
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2127231 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 501.44₽ · invest 1 602.41₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2118859 · The Clutch Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 500.89₽ · invest 1 491.01₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear); P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079386 instead of 0.074298; P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.008213 instead of 0.003760
Craft 2114287 · The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 492.56₽ · invest 1 511.42₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build