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The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +75.56$

Invest 191.47$

Average return 267.04$

ROI +39.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 465.58 $, profit at most −198.55 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −141 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

15.99 $

at 15.99

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

37.68 $

at 12.56

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

137.81 $

at 22.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.47 $ +75.56 (+39.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

6.38 $

at 6.38

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

111.91 $

at 15.99

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

25.12 $

at 12.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 143.40 $ +4.16 (+2.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −71 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

95.92 $

at 15.99

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

37.68 $

at 12.56

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

22.97 $

at 22.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 156.56 $ +25.13 (+16.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −85 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

79.93 $

at 15.99

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

37.68 $

at 12.56

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

45.94 $

at 22.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 163.55 $ +35.22 (+21.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

553.59 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

99.85 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

169.60 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

91.26 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +60.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +67.63 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2135881 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 76.39$ · invest 192.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −146 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2123248 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 76.22$ · invest 191.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −140 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2113908 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 75.29$ · invest 201.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −154 $ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075950 instead of 0.076795; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005206 instead of 0.005946
Craft 2139233 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 75.10$ · invest 205.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −166 $ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076530 instead of 0.076795; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005714 instead of 0.005946
Craft 2131997 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 74.94$ · invest 213.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −171 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076405 instead of 0.076795; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005605 instead of 0.005946
Craft 2138889 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 73.89$ · invest 194.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −143 $ rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076473 instead of 0.076795; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005664 instead of 0.005946

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build