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The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +39.58$

Invest 87.07$

Average return 126.65$

ROI +45.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 215.04 $, profit at most −88.39 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

57.39 $

at 6.38

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

29.68 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.07 $ +39.58 (+45.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

51.01 $

at 6.38

Steam

×1

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

21.49 $

at 21.49

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

29.68 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.19 $ +37.69 (+36.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −38 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

44.63 $

at 6.38

Steam

×2

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

42.99 $

at 21.49

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

29.68 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.31 $ +35.80 (+30.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

38.26 $

at 6.38

Steam

×3

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

64.48 $

at 21.49

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

29.68 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132.43 $ +33.92 (+25.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −91 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

31.88 $

at 6.38

Steam

×4

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

85.98 $

at 21.49

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

29.68 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 147.54 $ +32.03 (+21.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

169.60 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91.27 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

474.79 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

90.38 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +22.80 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +33.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2113336 · The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 39.77$ · invest 83.10$
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076693
Craft 2124900 · The Fever Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 39.42$ · invest 95.19$
outcome without sales rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076693
Craft 2120160 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 37.57$ · invest 69.53$
UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076693

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build