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The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +160.27₴

Invest 478.29₴

Average return 638.56₴

ROI +33.5%

Chance of profit 48%

With float: invest at least 1 195.71 ₴, profit at most −557.15 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

29.89 ₴

at 14.95

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

35.29 ₴

at 35.29

Steam

×7

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

413.11 ₴

at 59.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 478.29 ₴ +160.27 (+33.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 344.08 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

584.39 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 942.55 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

240.95 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

328.16 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

99.12 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

143.38 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

129.10 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

83.67 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

142.75 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +58.68 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +116.02 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2136638 · The Radiant Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 169.18₴ · invest 514.35₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2112482 · The Boreal Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 167.93₴ · invest 481.73₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2124551 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 167.93₴ · invest 512.49₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)
Craft 2128668 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 166.52₴ · invest 497.00₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2130902 · The Harlequin Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 161.09₴ · invest 524.77₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)
Craft 2132823 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 161.07₴ · invest 475.01₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163933 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074846 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2123267 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 159.57₴ · invest 473.09₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163325 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074634 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2127247 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 159.09₴ · invest 509.38₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163949 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074852 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2135889 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 158.85₴ · invest 493.88₴
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074848

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build