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The Harlequin Collection + The Italy Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1.14$

Invest 2.47$

Average return 3.61$

ROI +46.4%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 6.10 $, profit at most −2.49 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

1.79 $

at 0.22

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

0.23 $

at 0.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.47 $ +1.14 (+46.4%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4.96 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4.03 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Pit Viper

Field-Tested

float up to 0.169999

1.10 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.75 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.95 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2130771 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1.17$ · invest 2.53$
XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163815 instead of 0.166945; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074805 instead of 0.075894
Craft 2130622 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 1.16$ · invest 2.56$
Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163815 instead of 0.166945; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074805 instead of 0.075894
Craft 2109266 · The Arabesque Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.14$ · invest 2.70$
FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163815 instead of 0.166945; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074805 instead of 0.075894
Craft 2106672 · The Achroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.12$ · invest 2.59$
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167726 instead of 0.166945; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076165 instead of 0.075894
Craft 2130766 · The Harlequin Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 1.11$ · invest 2.46$
Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162002 instead of 0.166945; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074174 instead of 0.075894
Craft 2130668 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1.09$ · invest 2.58$
MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163815 instead of 0.166945; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074805 instead of 0.075894
Craft 2122538 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.07$ · invest 2.51$
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162793 instead of 0.166945; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074449 instead of 0.075894
Craft 2126530 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.07$ · invest 2.57$
USP-S | 27 (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163815 instead of 0.166945; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074805 instead of 0.075894
Craft 2130801 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 1.07$ · invest 2.57$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166217 instead of 0.166945; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075640 instead of 0.075894
Craft 2102401 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.06$ · invest 2.74$
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164940 instead of 0.166945; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075196 instead of 0.075894

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build