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The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1.24$

Invest 12.29$

Average return 13.53$

ROI +10.1%

Chance of profit 93%

With float: invest at least 31.71 $, profit at most −18.18 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: the price is understated

×9

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

10.97 $

at 1.22

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

1.32 $

at 1.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.29 $ +1.24 (+10.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 93%
Losing outcome 7%

in profit

M4A1-S | Party Animal

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16.00 $ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Field-Tested

float up to 0.232499

18.02 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

float up to 0.224999

8.01 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Field-Tested

float up to 0.159999

8.81 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.16 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.71 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2130786 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1.29$ · invest 12.61$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Well-Worn) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn)
Craft 2116085 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.28$ · invest 12.41$
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.164544
Craft 2123936 · The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 11.76$
rare inputs

P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn)
Craft 2130521 · The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1.24$ · invest 11.87$
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn)
Craft 2102405 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.22$ · invest 12.51$
AUG | Random Access (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168269 instead of 0.164544
Craft 2128148 · The Gamma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.20$ · invest 12.57$
rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163934 instead of 0.164544
Craft 2130654 · The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1.17$ · invest 12.87$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Sergeant (Battle-Scarred) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161765 instead of 0.164544

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build