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The Harlequin Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.58$

Invest 11.67$

Average return 15.26$

ROI +30.7%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 28.88 $, profit at most −13.63 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

1.70 $

at 0.85

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

0.79 $

at 0.79

Steam

×7

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

9.19 $

at 1.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.67 $ +3.58 (+30.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 16%

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

29.90 $ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

13.00 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43.21 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

5.36 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

7.30 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

8.50 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

8.92 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.24 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.56 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2136638 · The Radiant Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3.76$ · invest 11.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2112482 · The Boreal Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3.74$ · invest 10.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2124551 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3.74$ · invest 11.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2128668 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3.70$ · invest 11.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2132823 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3.58$ · invest 10.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163933 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074846 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2126306 · The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3.57$ · invest 10.64$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2123267 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3.55$ · invest 10.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163325 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074634 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2127247 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3.54$ · invest 11.33$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163949 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074852 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2135889 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3.53$ · invest 10.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.163939; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074848

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build