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The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit −16 129.08₴

Invest 16 480.73₴

Average return 351.65₴

ROI −97.9%

Chance of profit 0%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 35 808.61₴ · profit at most −35 456.97₴ (−99.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) × 6 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 295.06 → 740.61 ₴

AWP | PAW (Factory New) × 3 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 1 069.64 → 2 417.39 ₴

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 15 116.02 → 32 650.61 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

The gain is understated. 1 outcome has no price on Steam: it is above its cap and is not listed on the market. It counts as zero in the calculation and accounts for 10.0% of the probability.

+ a third collection

How to build

11% of lots fit assemble: no data

×6

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1754

295.06 ₴

at 49.18

Steam

×3

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

1 069.64 ₴

at 356.55

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3877

15 116.02 ₴

at 15 116.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 480.73 ₴ −16 129.08 (−97.9%)

The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 60% of the probability.

7% of lots fit assemble: no data

×2

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

98.35 ₴

at 49.18

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

713.09 ₴

at 356.55

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

15 116.02 ₴

at 15 116.02

Steam

×5

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

92 154.61 ₴

at 18 430.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 108 082.09 ₴ −107 925.80 (−99.9%)

6% of lots fit assemble: no data

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

147.53 ₴

at 49.18

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

713.09 ₴

at 356.55

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3841

15 116.02 ₴

at 15 116.02

Steam

×4

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

73 723.69 ₴

at 18 430.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89 700.34 ₴ −89 504.98 (−99.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131249

442.59 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

445.53 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

best

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

459.87 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

Negev | Mjölnir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection

Variant 2 only The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Norse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16 162.55 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −16 137.09 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Norse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build