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The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −16 587.07₴

Invest 17 095.50₴

Average return 508.42₴

ROI −97.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 37 519.25 ₴, profit at most −37 010.82 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

8% of lots fit assemble: no data

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

196.71 ₴

at 49.18

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

1 782.74 ₴

at 356.55

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3855

15 116.05 ₴

at 15 116.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 095.50 ₴ −16 587.07 (−97.0%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 30.0% of the chance

10% of lots fit assemble: no data

×2

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1727

98.36 ₴

at 49.18

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

1 782.74 ₴

at 356.55

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3869

15 116.05 ₴

at 15 116.05

Steam

×2

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

36 861.90 ₴

at 18 430.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53 859.05 ₴ −53 463.60 (−99.3%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 20.0% of the chance

9% of lots fit assemble: no data

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

147.53 ₴

at 49.18

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

1 782.74 ₴

at 356.55

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

15 116.05 ₴

at 15 116.05

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

18 430.95 ₴

at 18 430.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35 477.27 ₴ −35 025.34 (−98.7%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 40.0% of the chance

8% of lots fit assemble: no data

×1

MP7 | Powercore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

46.86 ₴

at 46.86

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

1 782.74 ₴

at 356.55

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3857

15 116.05 ₴

at 15 116.05

Steam

×3

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

55 292.86 ₴

at 18 430.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72 238.51 ₴ −71 899.56 (−99.5%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 70.0% of the chance

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

98.36 ₴

at 49.18

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | High Seas

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

201.94 ₴

at 201.94

Steam

×7

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

129 016.66 ₴

at 18 430.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 129 316.95 ₴ −129 147.48 (−99.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

442.59 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 046.49 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

459.87 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

Negev | Mjölnir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection

Variant 2 only The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Norse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16 641.95 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −16 603.64 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Norse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build